2026年5月28日星期四

【美国福音派】末世神学怎么影响总统大选? & 中东战争 中共也是?【福音派】川普|里根|布什|卡特

可能很多人都难以置信 美国这个全世界最发达、最科学、最现代化的国家 却有数以千万计的公民相信 世界末日马上就要来了 基督将再次降临救苦救难 开启一个千年繁荣的神国 更离谱的是这帮人并不是什么边缘人口 而是一支近几十年来始终左右着总统选举的超级政治力量 甚至还发动了两次海湾战争 阿富汗战争 甚至是川普最近的伊朗战争 本期节目我们就来展开聊聊之前 川普节目里面提到的这个超级政治力量 美国福音派的前世今生 这一切都要从马丁·路德和加尔文的宗教改革说起 我们都知道宗教改革的核心是打破教会对圣经的解释权 人人都可以解读圣经了 这当然是好的 在当时 但也为后来各种靠谱不靠谱的解读 包括本期节目要说的 福音派的末世神学解读打开了大门 宗教改革以后到了17世纪 英国的清教徒们 也就是加尔文宗不满英国国教 因为英国国教本面上说是摆脱了天主教 其实就是亨利八世 因为闹离婚和罗马教廷闹翻了 把教宗换成了自己而已 别的什么都没变 但清教徒我们都知道 他作为加尔文宗读信的是预定论 是自己为上帝的选民 是被上帝选中的 使命是通过教会传福音 社会改革道德提升 然后迎接基督的再领 建立一个千年繁荣的国度 我们现在说的千禧年 千禧年就是这么来的 这个故事是当时英国清教徒的核心信仰 我把它称作是乐观的后千禧年主义 注意这个概念很重要 重要的没办法用语言来形容 大家看本期节目的时候 一定要时刻记住这个概念 它是美国的立国之本 也是美国从殖民地开始到建国 到现在历史变迁的纽带之一 我们都知道 英国清教徒在遭受迫害之后 就坐着5月花号 移民新大陆了 在马赛诸塞湾 也就是现在的波士顿这块地方 建立了北美殖民地 与此同时 他们也把刚才说的乐观的后千禧年主义 也就是我们是上帝选中的人 来到北美努力建设社会越来越好 好迎接基督再临的信仰 给带到了北美 这个信仰的核心体现 就是肯尼迪 马丁路德金 里根 奥巴马 无数美国政治人物 无数次引用的一个提法 叫做山巅之城 这个提法来自马赛诸塞湾 殖民地的总督 约翰温斯洛普的那次著名的步道 名字就叫山巅之城 他当时说 新英格兰将成为全世界注目的榜样 是上帝在新世界的应许之地 就像就像什么呢 就像旧约中的以色列一样 这个就是美国的立国之门 美国人信仰的源头 当然是现在美国例外主义 美国优先主义的理论基础 因为美国人认为 美国可不是一个普通的国家 而是上帝为了实现末世计划 再次降临而选中的舞台 他们也是被上帝选中才来北美的 也是为了实现这个计划才来的 所以他们到了以后 都加倍勤劳的工作 推动社会的改革 一切一切 都是为了加速千年国度的到来 大家积极向上赢财神赢基督 相当乐观了 但是这种全社会都很乐观的 准备迎接上帝的信仰 却被一件事情彻底的改变了 是什么事情 就是林肯的南北战争 如果从政治经济学上来理解 南北战争肯定是积极的 林肯成功帮助北方的资本家 抢来了南方的廉价劳动力 也就是成为自由人的黑奴 属于是为美国后续的工业发展 奠定了巨大的基础 立下不朽的功勋 但我们老百姓看到的却是 南北战争的确是死了60多万人 占到当时美国人口的2%了 于是很多人他在心里面 他就犯嘀咕了 如果你们美国真的是上帝实现 再次降临的工具 为什么上帝会让我们如此惨烈的 兄弟相残 自相残杀 这个灵魂拷问 直接打破了北美殖民地建立以来 北美人民那种只要努力工作 只要道德进步 必然带来和平与繁荣 千年国度的乐观信仰 与此同时 工业化 城市化 又带来了贫民窟劳工冲突 移民问题 也让很多人感到 世界好像不是在变好 怎么感觉在变坏了 于是当年的美国人 一时间陷入了空前的迷茫之中 正是在这个迷茫的档口 拯救美国的大神出现了 他就是来自英国伦敦的圣经老师 约翰纳尔逊.达比。

达比在英国提出了一个叫时代论的 框架 也算是对圣经的一种新奇解读了 他把人类的历史 从无辜时代到千年国度时代 具体分为了七个时代 以前的美国人只是傻呵呵的认为 只要努力就能顺理成章的 达到千年国度时代了 但没有人说 具体怎么达到千年国度 具体是个什么步骤 达比这么一来 等于说是填补了空缺 具体步骤是资本主义 不是说错 是无辜时代 良心时代 人类政府时代 应许时代 律法时代 教会时代 最后达到第7个千年国度时代 他说我们现在都已经走到第6个时代 就是教会时代了 耶稣升天到现在都是教会时代 而且教会时代可不像你们以前说的 会越来越好 反而是越来越糟的 教会时代越来越糟 到最后会发生什么 就会发生一个七年大灾难 在大灾难开始之前 真正的基督徒也就是重生的人 所以重生这个概念也很重要 有好几个美国总统都宣称自己是 重生的 我们后面会提到 重生的人在大灾难来临之前 就会突然被滴溜到空中和主相遇 术语叫被提 被提的人就能躲过七年大灾 没被提的就要享受这七年大灾了 七年前3.5年里面还相对比较平静 后3.5年就相当惨烈了 敌基督大家可以理解为基督的敌人 他统治世界 迫害犹太人 以及没被滴溜上天的基督徒 正是为了解救受苦受难的人类 这时才引出了基督的二次降临 基督率天兵天将 从天而降 横扫一切地球法 这个就是著名的末日大战了 然后才能进入到第七个时代 千年国度时代 这比这这达比不去日本搞动漫 真是去了大财了 达比搞出来这七个时代理论之后 先是在欧洲进行推敲 但欧洲我们都知道 启蒙运动 世俗化搞得比较彻底 没有人理他 而且我们说句实话 像欧洲这些国家 包括英国 澳洲 加拿大这些国家在内 其实都缺乏美国人那种 例外主义 我们是被选中的人 那种叙事作为基础 于是达比反应过来以后 从1860年代开始 就决定转战北美了 什么叫树挪死人挪活 果然是一炮而红 当时正处在南北战争后 刺激下困扰下 迷茫的美国人民一听 感情是这么回事 我说怎么感觉 社会越来越差了 原来不是傻乎乎的 乐观的努力工作 就能迎来上帝 里边还有这么曲折的过程 所以从达比到过美国之后 美国人之前的那种傻乐观的 后千禧年主义 就变成了现在主流的这种悲观的 前千禧年主义 我这里插一句稍微解释一下 所谓前后的意思就是 基督降临是在千禧之前 还是之后这个区别 之前美国人傻乐观的 是想努力工作 搞出来千年繁荣的神国之后 基督才会再次降临 作为对我们的奖赏 但现在悲观的前千禧年主义 是说基督会在千禧之前降临 解救我们 才能带领我们走进那新时代 而且后来这种悲观的前千禧年主义 又和19世纪末到20世纪初 兴起的保守神学 基要主义进行了融合 基要主义顾名思义就是什么 坚决做到5个维护基督教的基本教义 所以我们看悲观的前千禧年主义 提供的是世界正在败坏 末世即将到来 我们怎么从第6个时代 过渡到第7个时代的时代框架理论 基要主义提供的则是 我们必须要死守传统要义 绝不妥协的一种态度 两者一结合 就是我们现在看到的 美国白人福音派群体的底色了 虔诚 而且注意是极其坚定的 毋庸置疑的一个信徒的群体 谁要是能把这帮死忠粉调动起来 那还不得当总统 但很可惜 起初的福音派 普遍是政治冷感的 改变这一切的关键人物 名叫杰里·福尔维尔 他是一名来自弗吉尼亚州的 进行会牧师 他在1979年的时候 创立了一个美国历史上 最著名的政治游说组织 名叫道德多数派 这个组织他利用教会原来就有的 这些网络 在全美登记了850万教众 700万的邮寄名单 就是相当于700万美国人的 微信号他都有 而且从中央到省市自治区 各下设地市属于是组织森严 最高峰的时候 能够一夜之间轻松动员起来 7万多名政治指导员 也就是牧师在讲道当中融入政治指导 指导你该投给谁 福尔维尔利用这个组织 把美国的福音派从一个宗教群体 全面政治化 彻底转化为了可以影响美国选举的 中间政治力量 在此后的几十年里 福音派和共和党结盟 提供超高投票率的核心票仓 白人福音派大概占到共和党选民的 30%到40% 但有趣的是什么 福音派第一个所谓的自家总统 却不是共和党的 而是民主党的卡特 卡特1976年参选的时候 宣称自己是南方进行会的 重生基督徒 注意我们之前说过 只有重生的基督徒 才能在7年大灾难来临的时候 被上帝递丢到空中 否则就得在地上受苦 所以卡特是有资格 被递丢上天的那种基督徒 所以他公开的分享自己的福音派信仰 即使身为民主党的候选人 也因此赢得了49%的福音派选票 帮助他击败福特 成为首位公开的福音派总统 但是我们都知道 卡特上台之后的诸多政策 并不是那么福音的 比如说平权法案 不强烈反对堕胎 放纵伊朗的霍梅尼回国 以及和小平同志勾肩搭背等等 所以说 福尔维尔马上就开始批评他了 并且在随后的选举当中 彻底转向里根 1980年的时候 他斥巨资1000万美元 在南方的广播电台和电视上投放广告 攻击卡特是背叛了南方和基督教 不再是一个基督徒了 结果我们大家都知道 1980年里根收获了2 2的白人福音派选票 成为胜负手 登上总统宝座 所以从这里我们也不难看出 福音派选民都是很务实的 他不看你是不是自称是福音派 而是看看你有没有我们福音派的政策 比如里根个人信仰就不算太虔诚 我们都知道还离过婚 但他的政策全都是福音风格的 包括反对IS对基督教学校的管制 支持学校里面的祷告 反对堕胎 还把家庭价值写入共和党的缸里 里根总统这些行为 把福尔维尔感动的痛哭流涕 承诺说 即使是魔鬼搭档里根 我也要选里根 结果里根在1980和1984年的 两次选举当中 都收割收获了福音派的绝对支持 当时美国人说什么呢 说福音派简直就是共和党的国王制造者 而共和党从里根这里尝到甜头以后 从此在政策里面也深深的嵌入了 福音派宗教右翼的政治诉求 所以说从此以后共和党的总统们 老布什收获70%到75%的白人福音派支持 小布什两次胜选 2000年是70% 2004年大面的民调下滑 福音派反而还上升到了78% 而且小布什也是公开自己的重生经历的 属于是也可以被上帝递留上天的总统 关键的是他还发动了福音派末世神学 色彩浓重的伊拉克战争 这和他父亲老布什的第一次海湾战争 都被福音派解读为圣经的应验 我就拿伊拉克举个例子 萨达姆被福音派普遍解读为巴比伦的父亲 大家都知道巴比伦在圣经启示录里 是一个非常负面的形象 淫乱腐败最终被审判等等 而且萨达姆这老小子也是浪催的 他长期以古巴比伦国王尼不加尼萨 二世的继承人自居 你这不是给福音派口实吗 所以他们就说萨达姆就是第6个 时代教会时代7年大灾难开始之后 来虐待基督徒和犹太人的敌基督 这么一来布什父子推翻萨达姆改造 中东就是清理末日战场了 保护以色列加速预言进城 迎接基督再临的行动了 所以刚才我们说小布什即使在中间 选民里边支持率那么低 极低可还是赢得了连任了 手工就记在这帮福音派的支持身上 同样的福音派末世神学小故事 川普也属于是活学活用 很多人可能好奇川普他个人争议那么大 比如说领导同志在生活作风方面 就不是特别检点是吧 甚至2016年的时候 不知道大家还记得没有 爆出来一个不雅的录音对话 那他是怎么还能成为福音派的新神的 教众不都是很保守的吗 因为川普把自己成功塑造成了 居鲁士大帝 居鲁士这个人物他非常特别 他在圣经当中属于是一个 并非完全虔诚的异教君王 却被上帝使用来帮助他的子民 释放犹太人回归耶路撒冷重建圣殿 居鲁士大帝的比喻 让川普成功避开了个人生活上的争议 因为福音派说了 上帝经常使用不完美的人成就大事 比如说大魏王犯罪 使徒保罗曾经逼迫教会 居鲁士是异教徒等等 川普就是被上帝选中的一个不完美的人 上期节目我们说了 发动对伊朗的战争 包括在办公室里被上帝选中等等行为 都是围绕这个叙事展开的 因为中东冲突 现在被福音派们普遍解读为 以西节出38、39章说的 哥格和玛格战争 北方的大国哥格 福音派说现在的俄罗斯联合波斯 也就是伊朗 土耳其 利比亚等国入侵以色列 最终引来神的干预才摧毁了这些敌人 川普打伊朗就是居鲁士解救以色列 就是引发末世战争迎接基督的二度降临 而且现在福音派里还出现了一个更硬核的 群体叫加速主义派 不光咱们中国有加速主义 人家老美也有 他们认为川普要主动支持以色列 主动推动冲突 才能加速福音派的末世预演 迎来耶稣再度降临的时限 而不是坐这里被动的等待一切发生 好家都是总加速师说一声 再说一个小细节 那天我妈还问我来着 她说川普拍自己访华的视频 怎么都用那么黑的调色呢 一点都不像总统都光明正大 我说您去看看白宫的网站 他的视频都是这个风格 本届总统定装照也是这个风格 宣布打击伊朗的视频也是暗色调 这是为什么呢 很简单 因为他在刻意迎合福音派的宗教审美 刻意嵌入福音派的末世神学黑暗之中 在凹末世领袖带领你们实现上帝神圣计划的感觉 包括他现在用宗教典故命名军事行动 也是同样的道理 25年6月的空袭叫什么午夜之锤 今年的叫史诗狂怒 就连让阿拉伯国家和以色列建交的协议 也要叫亚伯拉罕协议 这样做我们中国人 因为不了解他宗教背景 看起来或许是莫名其妙 但对福音派的效果其实是很好的 福音派对川普的支持率 2016 2020 2024 都维持到80%以上的历史最高 现在打了一廊以后 几乎已经飙升到100%了 那么从政治研究的角度 我们是怎么理解美国福音派的呢 一般来说 福音派的本质是一种通过情感动员的方式 把占人口大多数的没文化的穷人 成功转化成为政治力量的一种模式 这种成功模式 现在在世界上很多国家都被借鉴 因为你要赢得像美国这样 非强制投票的选举政治的关键增量 就是怎么动员那些本来不管政治 不想投票的人起来投票 福音派模式的核心是 简单情感叙事 复杂政策的不要 因为低教育的群体 或者说绝大多数的老百姓 都更依赖直觉故事身份政治 而非数据或者抽象的讲道理 来做出政治方面的决定 选举政治你必须拿多数票 否则怎么赢 因此你就要用这种方式动员多数的人 其实福音派模式是不限于宗教的 左右翼都可以用 比如说当下政治研究当中 最炙手火热的研究对象 欧洲右翼民粹的崛起 就是本地优化版的福音派模式 通过反移民本土优先 这些口号动员起来 那么多原本对政治一无所知的 愚夫愚妇起来参与政治 而且那么的坚定 那么的热情 比如说英国改革党 他取得的空前胜利 我个人认为是相当了不起的 非常值得研究 那么左翼的政治团体 也可以活学活用福音派模式 比如说我们都很熟悉的拉美左翼 多少年来都是用反帝 反美 反资本家的恐惧 解放穷人的希望愿景 包括把自己塑造成救世领袖的造神 行动 反复的在收割拉美国家的这些底层 我可不是光说像古巴委内瑞拉这种 智利 巴西 卢拉 阿根廷 哪一个拉美国家搞这一套 不是炉火成金 还有印度的莫迪 用的则是印度教民族主义 用类似福音派千年神国的罗摩神 理想国 把这些低种性的农民动员起来 转化为人民党的基本盘 其实包括中共在内也是一样了 改革开放以前的毛时代 是把共产主义社会 作为一个世俗的神国 穷人也就是所谓的无产阶级 工人农民 是历史的主人 也就是被选中的人 只要跟着毛主席二次降临的基督 走 打倒美帝苏修这些敌基督 就能到达人人平等 天堂般的社会 也就是福音派时代论理的千年国度了 现在到了习近平时代 则是创造出了一个中国梦 民族复兴的应许之地 底层的民众现在被告知 原来共产主义的天堂 暂时先不去了 现在习总书记带我们去另外一个好地方 叫做中国梦 这里边的情感杠杆 就是用民族自豪感撬动 对外部比如说美国的恐惧 人在恐惧的时候会做什么 就是抱团 从而让大家自动的紧密团结到 以习主席为核心的党中央周围 这和福音派用末世神学的紧迫感 动员选民几乎是如出一辙的 那么篇幅有限 我们就不能一一展开了 但是大家有没有发现 无论哪个国家用 无论怎么用 为什么福音派模式屡试不爽 归根结底 是因为人口占绝大多数的 普通老百姓 普遍教育资源太有限了 信息渠道太单一了 即使在发达国家也是一样 所以这就造成对底层人的情感动员 成本低到令人发指 用户粘性的高到六亲不认 而且底层人和那些精打细算 来支持你的资本家 精英阶层还不同 他们往往不要求太多回报 或者利益再分配来巩固忠诚 不要求和政党政治人物 形成互惠的关系 图个心理满足就够了 小恩小惠就足以维持多年的铁盘 也正是因为看到了动员底层人 性价比极高 现在的很多智库 包括美国的保守派智库 中国的中央党校 中共的智库 甚至一些我知道的欧洲的右翼 包括左翼的智库都在研究 怎么优化这种通过情感调动 hack老百姓的情感 从而激励他们拍案而起 投入到政治行动当中的机制 就像市场营销心理操纵 你买东西一样 放到政治上则是让政党 政府政治人物 用低成本动员收买底层人 从而获取权利 当然了 我说这些都是从一个政治研究工作 在的角度 如果从赌信宗教 或者说赌信科学 赌信党 赌信某种政治理念 道德信条的人的角度出发 他们无疑又是幸福的 因为他们找到了存在的意义 归根结底 人类的情感需求是不会消失的 人类从原始社会以来 都在追寻存在的意义 归属感 希望和敌人 教育普及程度再高 质量再高 理性也无法完全满足 人类这些深层次的感性的心理需求 因此通过情感诉求调动人类的行为 将是人类政治永恒的一部分 既不愚昧也不可耻 这是人类天性所决定的 只有少数人能够逃脱 但可惜的是什么 他们逃脱之后 往往又折返回来 开始愚弄多数

[American Evangelicals] How Does End-Times Theology Influence Presidential Elections and Wars in the Middle East? Is the CCP Also "Evangelical"? | Trump | Reagan | Bush | Carter

Many people may not believe that the United States, the most developed, most scientific, most modernized country in the world, has tens of millions of citizens, believing that the end of the world is coming soon. Christ will come again to save suffering, to open a thousand-year-old prosperous kingdom. What's more ridiculous is that these people are not some border population, but a super political force that has always dominated the presidential election in recent decades.


It even launched two naval wars, the Afghan war, and even Trump's recent war in Iran. In this episode, we will talk about the super political force mentioned in the Trump program, and the past and present life of the American Founding Fathers. It all starts with Martin Luther King and Calvin's religious reform.


We all know that the core of religious reform is to break the church's right to explain the Bible. Everyone can interpret the Bible. Of course, it was good at the time, but it also opened the door for various reliable and unreliable interpretations, including the Founding Fathers' theological interpretation of the Founding Fathers.


After the religious reform, in the 17th century, the British Catholicism, that is, the Calvinism, was dissatisfied with the British Catholicism, because the British Catholicism said on the surface that it was getting rid of the Catholicism. In fact, it was Henry VIII who had a divorce and the Roman Catholicism. It's the other way around.


He replaced the Catholicism with himself. Nothing else has changed. But we all know that the Catholicism, as Calvinism, is a pre-determined theory.


It is chosen by God. It is chosen by God. The mission is to pass on the gospel of the church, to improve social reform and morality, and then to welcome Christ's re-establishment, and to establish a nation of millennia of prosperity.


This is what we call millennia. Millennium is how it came. This story is the core belief of the British Catholics at the time.


I call it optimistic post-millenniumism. Note that this concept is very important, and it cannot be described in words. When you watch this program, you must remember this concept at all times.


It is the foundation of the founding of the United States, and it is also one of the twists and turns of history from the colonization of the United States to the founding of the United States to the present day. We all know that after the British Catholics were persecuted, they immigrated to the New Continent in May. They established a North American colony in Massachusetts Bay, which is now Boston.


At the same time, they also brought the optimistic post-millenniumism that I just mentioned, that is, we are chosen by God, to come to North America to work hard to build a better society, to welcome Christ's re-establishment, to North America. The core of this belief is Kennedy, Martin Luther King, Reagan, Obama, and countless American politicians. A theme that has been quoted countless times is called the city of the mountains.


This theme comes from the famous path of John Winslow, The name is called the city of the mountains. He said at the time that New England would become a model for the whole world. It is the place where God's will in the new world.


Just like what? Just like Israel in the Old Testament. This is the door to the United States. The source of American faith is of course the theoretical basis of American externalism and American prioritization.


Because Americans think that the United States is not an ordinary country, but a stage chosen by God to realize the end of the world plan to come again. They were also chosen by God to come to North America, and they came to realize this plan. So after they arrived, they worked hard to promote social reform.


Everything is to speed up the arrival of a thousand years of nationality. Everyone is positive about winning that Christ. But this kind of society is very optimistic about preparing to welcome God's faith, but one thing has been completely changed.


What is it? It's Lincoln's war in the North and South. If you look at it from a political economic point of view, the war in the North and South must be positive. Lincoln successfully helped the capitalists in the north to grab the cheap labor force in the south, which is to become a free slave.


It is a great contribution to the subsequent industrial development of the United States. But what we see is that the war in the North and South did kill more than 600,000 people. It accounted for 2% of the American population at the time.


So many people in his heart, he made a mistake. If the United States is really a tool for God to come down again, why would God let us kill each other so brutally? This soul test directly broke the North American people since the establishment of the North American colony. As long as you work hard, as long as you improve your morality, you will bring peace and prosperity, a thousand years of national optimism.


At the same time, industrialization and urbanization have brought poverty, labor conflicts, immigration issues, and many people feel that the world is not getting better. How do you feel bad? So the Americans at the time fell into a moment of confusion. It was at this moment of confusion that the god of salvation appeared in the United States.


He is the teacher of the Bible from London, England, John Nelson Darby. Darby proposed a framework called the Theory of Time in the UK, which is also a novel interpretation of the Bible. He divided human history from the Innocent Age to the Millennium Age into seven specific eras.


In the past, the Americans just thought that as long as they worked hard, they could successfully reach the Millennium Age. But no one said how to reach the Millennium Age. What is the specific step? Darby came in this way, which is equivalent to filling this gap.


The specific step is the Innocent Age, the Conscience Age, the Human Government Age, the Age of Acceptance, the Age of Law, the Age of Education, and finally the 7th Millennium Age. He said that we have now reached the 6th age, which is the Age of Education. Jesus was born until now is the Age of Education, and the Age of Education is not like what you used to say will be better and better, but worse and worse.


What will happen in the end of this Age of Education? What will happen in the end of this Age of Education? There will be a seven-year disaster. Before the disaster, the real Christian is the rebirth. The concept of rebirth is also very important.


Several presidents of the United States have declared that they are reborn. We will mention the rebirth later. Before the disaster, people will suddenly be thrown into the air and meet their master.


The saying is to be mentioned. Those who are mentioned can avoid the Millennium Age. Those who are not mentioned will enjoy the Millennium Age.


In the first 3.5 years of the 7th millennium, it was relatively calm, and in the last 3.5 years, it was quite brutal. Antichrist, as you can understand, is the enemy of Christianity. He ruled the world, persecuted the Jews, and did not become a Christian.


It was in order to save the suffering human beings that Christ's second coming was introduced. Christ led the heavenly soldiers to fall from the sky and sweep all the earth. This is the famous end of the day war.


Then it can enter the seventh era, the Millennium Age. Dabi is not going to Japan to engage in animation, but to go to Da Cai. After Dabi came up with the seven-era theory, it was first promoted in Europe.


But we all know that the Enlightenment Movement in Europe is relatively thorough. No one cares about it. And to be honest, countries like Europe, including the United Kingdom, Australia and Canada, actually lack the kind of exceptionalism of the Americans.


We are the chosen ones. That kind of narrative is the basis. So after Dabi's reaction, he decided to turn to North America from the 1860s.


What is the tree that dies and the man that lives? Sure enough, it was a blast. At that time, after the war in the north and south, the American people who were confused by the excitement and confusion listened. Oh, that's how it feels.


How do I feel that society is getting worse and worse? It turns out that it is not a stupid, optimistic, hard work that can welcome God. There is still such a complex process inside. So from Dabi to the United States, the stupid, optimistic post-Millenniumism of the Americans has become the mainstream of this pessimistic pre-Millenniumism.


Let me explain a little bit here. The so-called post-Millenniumism means that the Americans were stupid and optimistic before. After working hard to get this thousand-year-old prosperous God, Christ will come again as a reward for us.


But now this pessimistic pre-Millenniumism means that Christ will come before the Millennium to save us so that he can lead us into the new era. And later, this pessimistic pre-Millenniumism merges with the conservative theology of Christianity that emerged in the late 19th century to the early 20th century. What is Christianity? It is a basic doctrine that firmly upholds the five Christian teachings.


So what we see in pessimistic pre-Millenniumism is that the world is getting worse and worse, and the end is coming. How do we go from the sixth era to the seventh era of the era framework theory? What Christianity provides is that we must stick to the traditional doctrine and never compromise. The combination of the two is the underlying color of the white American Christian group we see now.


The predecessor, and note that it is an extremely firm and unquestioning group of believers. If anyone can mobilize these dead fans, they have to be president. But it's a pity that the original Christians were generally politically cold.


The key figure to change all this is called Jerry Falwell. He is a missionary from Virginia. He founded an American-history-famous political tax-grabbing organization in 1979 called the Daoist Multi-Sect.


This organization uses the existing church networks to register 8.5 million churches in the United States, 7 million mailing lists, which is equivalent to the micro-channel number of 7 million Americans. And from the central to the provincial autonomous region, each sub-region is a group. At the peak, it can easily mobilize more than 70,000 political leaders overnight.


That is, the pastor is involved in the political guidance in the teaching. Who should you vote for? Falwell uses this organization to fully politicize the American Christian In the following decades, Falwell has allied with the Republican Party to provide the core ballot box with a super high voting rate. Falwell accounted for about 30% to 40% of Republican voters.


But what's interesting is that Falwell's first so-called president was not a Republican, but a Democratic, Carter. Carter declared himself a re-christian of the Southern Conference in 1976. As we said before, only a re-christian can be thrown into the air by God when the disaster of the seventh year comes, otherwise he will suffer on the ground.


So Carter is a christian who has the right to be thrown into heaven. So he openly shared his Falwellian faith. Even as a Democratic candidate, he won 49% of the Falwellian votes, helping him to defeat Ford and become the first public Falwellian president.


But we all know that many policies after Carter took office were not so conducive. For example, the equal rights bill, not strongly opposed to abortion, let Iran's Khomeini go back to China, and colluded with Comrade Xiaoping, etc. So Falwell immediately began to criticize him and then turned to Reagan in the election.


In 1980, he spent 10 million dollars to advertise on Southern radio and television, attacking Carter for betraying the South and Christianity, no longer a Christian. As a result, we all know that in 1980, Reagan won two-thirds of the Falwellian votes, becoming the winner and ascending to the presidential throne. So from here we can also see that Falwellian voters are very pragmatic.


He doesn't look at whether you call yourself a Falwellian, but to see if you have the policies of our Falwellian. For example, Reagan's personal belief is not very sincere, we all know that he was divorced, but his policies are all Falwellian, including opposing the control of IS on this Christian school, supporting the prayer in the school, opposing abortion, and writing family values �𦥑�𤷫nto the Republican Party. President Reagan's actions moved Falwell to tears, promising that even if he is a devil's partner, Reagan, I will also choose Reagan.


As a result, Reagan won absolute support from the Falwellian in both the 1980s and 1984 elections. What did the Americans say at the time? They said that the Falwellian was simply the king of the Republican Party. And after the Republican Party tasted sweet from Reagan here, it also deeply infiltrated the political demands of the Falwellian religious right from then on.


So from then on, the Republican presidents, Bush, who won 70% to 75% of the white Falwellian support, Bush, who won twice in 2000, 70% in 2000, and 78% in 2004 when the Republican Party fell. And Bush also publicly revealed his reincarnation experience, belonging to the president who can also be left to God. The key is that he also launched the colorful Iraqi war of the Falwellian Moorish mythology.


This is the first overseas war with his father Bush, which was interpreted by the Falwellian as the feast of the Bible. Let me give you an example of Iraq. Saddam was generally interpreted by the Falwellian as the father of Babylon.


Everyone knows that Babylon is a very negative image in the Bible. Chaos, corruption, and eventually being tried, etc. And Saddam, this old boy, is also bragging.


He has long been the heir of the Babylonian king Nebuchadnezzar II. Didn't you give the Falwellian a testimony? So they said that Saddam was the 6th era, and the 7th era of the Church was the beginning of the Great Disaster in the 7th year to abuse Christians and Jews. In this way, Bush's father and son overthrew Saddam and transformed the Middle East, which is to clean up the Moorish battlefield, protect Israel, and accelerate the process of prophecy to welcome the return of Christ.


So just now we said that even if Bush has such a low support rate among the middle voters, he still won the re-election, and the credit goes to the support of the Falwellian. The same story of the Falwellian Moorish mythology. Trump is also a living example.


Many people may be curious about Trump's personal controversy. For example, Comrade Linao is not particularly modest in terms of lifestyle, right? Even in 2016, I don't know if you remember, there was a rude recording conversation. So how did he become the new god of the Falwellian? Isn't it all very conservative? Because Trump has successfully shaped himself into the God of Jerusalem.


The God of Jerusalem is very special. He is a non-completely devout pope in the Bible, but God used him to help his people release the Jews and return to Jerusalem to rebuild the temple. The metaphor of the God of Jerusalem successfully avoided Trump's personal life controversy.


Because the Falwellian said that God often uses imperfect people to achieve great things. For example, the king of David committed a crime, the apostle Paul once forced the church, Jerusalem is an atheist, etc. Trump is an imperfect person chosen by God.


We said in the last show that the war on Iran, including being chosen by God in the office, is all around this narrative. Because the Middle East conflict is now generally interpreted by the Falwellian as the war of Gege and Magge, The northern country of Gege, the Falwellian said, is now Russia, and together with Persia, that is, Iran, Turkey, Libya, and other countries, invaded Israel and eventually led to God's intervention to destroy these enemies. Trump's fight against Iran is to save Israel from Jerusalem, is to trigger the end of the war to welcome the arrival of the Jews.


And now there is a more harmonious group in the Falwellian called the Accelerationist. Not only do we have the Accelerationist in China, but also in America. They believe that Trump should take the initiative to support Israel, take the initiative to promote the conflict, in order to accelerate the end of the Falwellian, and welcome the arrival of Jesus again.


Instead of sitting here passively waiting for everything to happen. It's all about accelerating. One more detail, my mother asked me that day, she said, why did Trump use such a dark tone in his video of visiting China? It's not like the president at all, it's not bright.


I said, you go to the White House website, his videos are all this style, this president's makeup is also this style, the video that announced the attack on Iran is also dark tone. Why is this? It's simple, because he is deliberately catering to the religious aesthetics of the Falwellian. Deliberately infiltrating the dark of the Falwellian mythology of the Falwellian, in the dark, leading you to realize the divine plan of God.


Including the fact that he is now using this religion to name military operations, which is the same reason. The air raid of June 25th is called the Hammer of the Night, and this year it's called the History of Anger. Even the agreement that allowed the Arab countries to establish diplomatic relations with Israel is also called the Abraham Agreement.


As we Chinese, because we don't understand his religious background, it may seem inexplicable, but the effect on the Falwellian is actually very good. Falwellian support for Trump has maintained a history of more than 80% in 2016, 2020 and 2024. Now, after fighting Iran, it has almost soared to 100%.


So, from a political point of view, how do we understand the American Falwellian? Generally speaking, the essence of the Falwellian is a way of emotional mobilization to successfully transform the poor who occupy the majority of the uneducated into a model of political power. This successful model is now borrowed from many countries in the world, because the key increase in election politics to win unauthorized voting like the United States is how to mobilize those who did not care about politics and did not want to vote to vote. The core of the Falwellian model is a simple emotional narrative and a complex policy, because the low-educated groups or the vast majority of the people rely more on intuition, story, identity politics, rather than data or abstract reasoning to make political decisions.


In election politics, you have to get the majority vote, otherwise how do you win? So you have to mobilize the majority in this way. In fact, the Falwellian model is not limited to religion, but it can be used for both right and left. For example, the most popular subject of political research at present, the rise of the right-wing democracy in Europe, is the local optimized version of the Falwellian model.


Through anti-immigrant, local priority, these slogans are mobilized, so many uneducated people who did not know anything about politics come to participate in politics. And so firm, so passionate, for example, the British Reform Party, I personally think it is quite remarkable and very worth studying. So can the left-wing political groups also use the Falwellian model? For example, we are all familiar with the left-wing of Latin America.


For many years, it has been the fear of anti-emigrants, anti-American, anti-capitalists, and the wishful thinking of liberating the poor, including the act of making themselves the leaders of the old world, which has repeatedly harvested the bottom of Latin America. I'm not just talking about things like Cuba, Venezuela, Chile, Brazil, Uruguay, Argentina, which Latin American country is not doing this? There is also the Modi of India, which uses Indian nationalism, and the Roman idealism of a thousand-year god-state similar to the Falwellian, to mobilize these low-seed farmers and turn them into the basic class of the People's Party. In fact, it is the same with the Chinese Communist Party.


The Mao era before the reform and opening up regarded the communist society as a secular god-state, and the poor, the so-called proletariat, the workers and the farmers, were the masters of history, the people who were elected. As long as you follow Chairman Mao's second coming of Christianity, you can reach a society like paradise where everyone is equal, and that is the millennium of the Falwellian era. Now in the Xi Jinping era, it has created a dream of China, a place for the revival of the nation.


The people at the bottom are now told that the paradise of communism will not go for the time being, and now Secretary Xi is taking us to another good place called the dream of China. The emotional leverage in this is to use the pride of the nation to stir the fear of the outside, such as the United States. What do people do when they are in fear? It's a riot, so that everyone is automatically closely united around the party center, which is the core of President Xi.


This is almost the same as the Falwellian sense of urgency and mobilization of voters. It's almost the same as the Falwellian sense of urgency and mobilization of voters. So we can't go into detail about the limited spectrum.


But have you noticed that no matter which country uses it, no matter how it is used, why is the Falwellian mode always not cool? In the end, it is because the majority of the population is ordinary people, and the general educational resources are too limited, and the information channels are too simple. Even in developed countries, it is the same. So this causes a low cost to the emotional mobilization of the people at the bottom, which is so low that it is outrageous, and the user age is so high that it is unrecognizable.


And the people at the bottom are different from those capitalists who support you by calculation. They often don't ask for too much return or redistribution of interests to consolidate loyalty, don't ask for a relationship with the political parties and political figures, just a psychological satisfaction is enough, a small favor, a small meeting is enough to maintain the iron plate for many years. It is precisely because we have seen the high cost of mobilizing the people at the bottom, that many of today's think tanks, including the conservative think tanks of the United States, the think tanks of China's central party school, the CCP, and even some of the right-wing and left-wing think tanks I know, are studying how to optimize this kind of emotional mobilization, to hack the emotions of the people, and to encourage them to start a case, to invest in the mechanism of political action, just like market marketing, psychological manipulation, and to let the political parties, governments, and political figures mobilize the people at the bottom at a low cost to gain power.


Of course, I say this from the perspective of a political researcher. If you start from the perspective of a single religion or a single science, a single party, a single political ideology, a moral line, they are undoubtedly happy, because they have found the meaning of existence. In the end, the human emotional needs will not disappear.


Human beings have been pursuing the meaning of existence since primitive society, the sense of belonging, hope, and the enemy. No matter how high the level of education is, no matter how high the quality is, rationality cannot fully meet the deep emotional psychological needs of human beings. Therefore, through the mobilization of human behavior through emotional demand, it will be an eternal part of human politics, neither stupid nor shameful.


This is determined by human nature. Only a few people can escape, but what is a pity? After they escape, they often turn back and start to fool the majority.